Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.355860 1.681258 2.111525 2.744741 3.696764 5.160486 7.792828
2025-05-25 0.979313 1.341663 1.905263 2.932172 5.014180 9.961468 28.717902
2025-06-01 0.765628 1.110266 1.701020 2.941215 6.105524 17.604479 171.477618
2025-06-08 0.622858 0.934991 1.503634 2.816423 6.796160 28.373236 23779.746641
2025-06-15 0.551339 0.856844 1.449398 2.966429 8.630553 67.016822 NaN
2025-06-22 0.488122 0.776994 1.362622 2.981625 10.160345 171.644090 NaN
2025-06-29 0.432684 0.699960 1.258457 2.889028 11.146207 493.479969 NaN
2025-07-06 0.390654 0.641186 1.179271 2.832447 12.401450 3947.794472 NaN
2025-07-13 0.373173 0.627647 1.200548 3.128357 17.689640 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.352314 0.603398 1.189099 3.306807 23.677814 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.327648 0.567322 1.138674 3.300400 27.975234 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.302354 0.526671 1.067858 3.168437 29.769888 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.286411 0.505168 1.046386 3.265610 39.182150 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.274736 0.491709 1.044746 3.470246 59.350576 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.259411 0.468060 1.008830 3.474441 75.614926 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.242219 0.438317 0.949639 3.314484 79.479685 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.234044 0.428641 0.948912 3.504831 135.210537 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.223317 0.411780 0.922893 3.524146 191.805117 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.211225 0.390561 0.879767 3.406274 218.052944 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.200995 0.372979 0.845700 3.334462 270.010276 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.198451 0.373717 0.870845 3.711757 1341.568377 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.193568 0.368185 0.874302 3.941333 23702.053420 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.186074 0.355455 0.851008 3.933064 NaN NaN NaN